Forked Lightning

ChatGPT really does offer mundane utility

It’s practically useful, and not currently on track to kill us all

Sep 16 • 

David Deming

31

3

How People Use ChatGPT

New NBER working paper just dropped

Sep 15 • 

David Deming

41

3

Shorting the AI jobs apocalypse

Turbulent times are windows of opportunity for well-educated and ambitious young people

Sep 2 • 

David Deming

125

5

April 2025

AI-human teams and the future of work

The rewards will go to people with both deep expertise and the social awareness to recognize their own limitations

Apr 7 • 

David Deming

19

5

October 2024

The Past, Present, and Future of Office Work

From information poverty to information overload, all in less than a century

Oct 24, 2024 • 

David Deming

46

8

In defense of email jobs

Office work and the economic value of better communication

Oct 15, 2024 • 

David Deming

20

3

A data-driven case that AI has already changed the U.S. labor market

A painfully cautious economist tries – and fails - to avoid the AI hype

Oct 7, 2024 • 

David Deming

49

5

September 2024

How computers turned machinists into problem-solvers

Computers execute flawlessly and never tire, but people are the ultimate GPT

Sep 30, 2024 • 

David Deming

16

The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI

New evidence from a nationally representative survey

Sep 23, 2024 • 

David Deming

15

6

Why did rising agricultural productivity destroy farm jobs?

Engel’s law and the future of work

Sep 16, 2024 • 

David Deming

35

3

What steam power and generative AI have in common

They foreshadow(ed) big changes to come, but further innovation is (was) required to increase reliability and lower costs

Sep 9, 2024 • 

David Deming

28

9

To predict the future of work with AI, study the past

Lessons learned from 150 years of technological disruption in the labor market

Sep 3, 2024 • 

David Deming

26

2